In October, 2010, Ed clarks talks About His Success in Building a Great American Banking Franchise

Why does going after deposits and loans; giving great customer service; and expanding where the opportunity arises sound like this bank is marching to a different drummer?

Toronto Dominion had about 1,000 branches in the U.S. early in the financial crisis and now has 13,000. Dull grey flannel banking earns Ed Clark the Canada’s Outstanding CEO of the Year award!


Oct. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Edmund Clark, chief executive officer of Toronto-Dominion Bank, talks with Bloomberg’s Melissa Long about the outlook for his company. Clark, speaking from the Economist magazine's Buttonwood Gathering in New York, also discusses the prospects for the U.S. economy. (Source: Bloomberg)

Ed Clark on TD

Bloomberg Interviews Toronto-Dominion's Ed Clark

June 3 (Bloomberg) -- Edmund Clark, chief executive officer of Toronto-Dominion Bank, talks about the bank's performance and lending in Canada, its U.S. growth and retail bank customer service. Toronto-Dominion Bank is Canada’s second-largest bank. Clark speaks with Lisa Murphy on Bloomberg Television's "Fast Forward." (Source: Bloomberg)

Twenty Years of a Convertible Ruble.

For approximately 500 years the Russia has used the ruble as its currency. Since the Soviet Union's fall in 1991, the country has undergone some drastic changes, including the ruble. After the fall the Russians focused on the challenge of converting their centrally planned economy to that of a market based economy with an emphasis with global integration. In 1991, the USA and the IMF recommended the economy undergo a radical “shock therapy” approach to market oriented reform. Rather than kick starting the Russian economy it led to collapse. Millions fell into poverty and corruption and crime grew rampant.

Hyperinflation resulted from the removal of the Soviet price controls. There were monumental difficulties in actually implementing the fiscal reforms. The govenment depended heavily on short-term borrowing to finance its budget deficits from 1991 until the 1998 financial crisis. These financial problems were exacerbated by low prices for Russia’s major exports a lack of investor confidence. The led to a falling ruble, a weakened banking system, and the constant threat of runaway inflation.

Despite these ongoing economic difficulties Russia and its ruble continued to struggle forward, claiming small victories along the way. In 2000, Russia successfully upheld its external debt obligations in addition to making a large advance payment of principal to loans from the IMF and building up its own Central Bank reserves. In 2002 the Russian government successfully assumed its payment of roughly $14 billion in official debt payments coming due. It was able to accomplish these feats through a sound government budget, improving trade, and substantial current account surpluses.

The current account surpluses caused the ruble to appreciate rapidly in value. However given its role in Russia’s exports, the country and the economy depend heavily on the price of energy. The 2001 U.S. recession and the global slowdown after the high tech burst caused energy prices to fall. In 2002 the G8 nations cancelled $20 Billion of the old Soviet Union’s debt. They hoped this would induce Russia to use these savings to safeguard Russia's nuclear and other dangerous materials from terrorists.

In 2004 the Stabilization fund of the Russian Federation was established and integrated into the federal budget as a safety net against falling oil prices. This was aimed at keeping the ruble stable through turbulent times in the energy sector.

The battle for economic stability lasted for more than half a decade. However, in 2007, Russia achieved one of its goals when the IMF certified the Russian economy had achieved macroeconomic stability.

In 2009 Russia’s GDP grew at its fastest since the fall of the Soviet Union. This meant that Russia and its ruble had officially overcome the consequences of the 1990 recession and economic collapse. Throughout all of this the ruble has been under the strains of inflation, although unemployment was cut nearly in half from 2000 to 2007.

In 2011 the upheaval in the Middle East has provided Russia with higher prices and increased demand for its energy exports as it helps to fill the gap left from reduced production in the Middle East. This will hopefully bring welcomed news for the Russian economy and its ruble.

The ruble has improved much more than Russian politicians and laws so that investors having greater faith in the currency than the integrity of its government.

-Stephanie Giberson

Steve Jobs Resigns

Steve Jobs Through the Years 8/24/2011 7:54:17 PM

Steve Jobs has spent his career challenging conventions about personal computing. He's transformed an industry and changed the way we think about technology. A look back at the accomplishments of an American business icon.




Mossberg: Steve Jobs, a Historical Figure 8/24/2011 8:02:51 PM

Steve Jobs is "one of the two or three leading historical figures of the tech revolution," says WSJ personal technology columnist Walt Mossberg.



Julia Angwin on Steve Jobs's Charisma 8/24/2011 8:24:12 PM

Senior technology editor Julia Angwin discusses Steve Jobs's charisma and the intimidation factor when interviewing the Apple CEO. (Photo: AP Photo.)

Is that a Tear Rolling Down Alexander Hamilton's Cheek?

Alexander Hamilton was a pesky immigrant who saw Great Britain's creditworthiness and thus ability to borrow as important to its standing as a superpower as was the British navy.  As the republic's first Secretary of the Treasury, he set the U.S. on course to creating the dollar as the world currency built on the credit worthiness of U.S. treasury bonds.

Pity Mr. Geithner who fate it is to have Hamilton's job when we suffer the indignity of a credit downgrade.  Standard and Poor's announced after markets closed Friday that America's bonds have fallen from AAA to AA.

The announcement brought quick reactions.

Guess who said the following?

"The U.S. government has to come to terms with the painful fact that the good old days when it could just borrow its way out of messes of its own making are finally gone...
A little self-discipline would not be too uncomfortable for the United States, the world's largest economy and issuer of international reserve currency, to bear.

"For centuries, it was the exuberant energy and innovation that has sustained America's role in the world and maintained investors' confidence in dollar assets. But now, mounting debts and ridiculous political wrestling in Washington have damaged America's image abroad...
All Americans, both beltway politicians and those on Main Street, have to do some serious soul-searching to bring their country back from a potential financial abyss."

(A) A big bond investor
(B) A foreign upstart
(C) A news service
(D) All of the above
(E) None of the above

The correct answer is (D).  Saturday, in the wake of the downgrade,  Xinhua, China's official news service editorialized the words you just read.  The signed editorial was attributed to Yamei Wang.  It is embarrassing to be lectured by China especially when China is calling a spade a spade.

Competing with Home Brew? Anything for Market Share!

The Financial Times reports that "The booze market in Uganda, brewing beer since the 1950s, is growing fast."  In this three minute and 52 second video, Katrina Manson reports on South African SABMiller’s strategy to brew its cheapest bottled beer from crops grown by local farmers and compete with home brew. Katrina Manson is the Financial Times' east Africa correspondent. She tells us about "South African SABMiller’s strategy to brew its cheapest bottled beer from crops grown by local farmers and compete with home brew."

U.S. Energy Production on the Rise

7/6/2011: Markets Hub interviews WSJ's Heard on the Street columnist, Liam Denning that energy production in America is on the rise, which is positively affecting the U.S. chemical industry. Natural gas is the good news:

A Dismal Employment Report, But Hope for Wichita

Unemployment Rate Up, Job Growth Nil

The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued its monthly labor report this morning.  The unemployment rate was 9.18%.  It is up for three straight months now.  The establishment survey showed only 18,000 new jobs, a number so small, it is noise.  No sensible statistician would reject the hypothesis that June's job growth was zero. May's strong job growth was even revised downward. 

The Long Slow Slide

Reviewing the data for the last year is even more depressing.  Although the establishment survey shows a growth of over a million jobs since June, 2010, the household survey shows only about a quarter million more working now than then.  That is a big discrepancy and bodes ill for the next big establishment data revision.  More depressing still is the trend in the ratios of jobs to the population.  This statistic is immune from oddities in Washington's population estimates.  The proportion of the population working appeared to have bottomed out in January, 2010 at 58.23, but now hit a new low in June, 2011 at 58.18%.  

The unemployment rate peaked at 10.15% in October 2009.  The bulk of the improvement since then came from a fall in the number looking for work (i.e., a fall in the labor participation rate.)  The economic distortions caused by the credit boom of the middle of the last decade continue to drag on growth.   Housing starts have averaged a little over a half million for more than two and a half years.  Unemployment in construction is at 15.6% despite a slowly shrinking labor force.  Conventional economic stimulus is poorly equipped to cure such distortions.

But Is Aerospace Up!

Amid all this gloom, there is good news for Wichita.  Manufacturing employment is up nationally.  Moreover manufacturing jobs are up about a percent and a half over a year ago.  

Digging under the published numbers in the BLS report, it appears aerospace employment is up by a thousand jobs in June.  This comes after a great Paris air show for commercial aviation.  Over $90 billion in orders were placed for new planes.  This is good news for Spirit.  Even general aviation is showing glimmers of life.

The Government Shuts Down Wind Mills and Shell Takes a FL*NG at Sea

The Wind May Blow, But the Power Does Not Flow

Pipelines and/or transmission are the choke point of energy policy. Getting energy from there to here is a big problem. Wind energy is useless if there is no transmission to get it to market. This summer, the Bonneville Power Authority is periodically disconnecting wind power from its grid. (See "Tilting at Windmills" in the Economist.)  Why?  There is so much excess melt water that the Authority is giving away hydro power for free and even paying utilities the cost of getting that power from there to them.  Unfortunately there is not enough transmission to fully share the Pacific Northwest's bounty with the rest of America.  Hence the idle windmills.    Ludwig von Mises's ghost must be experiencing schadenfreude as it mutters "another triumph for socialist planning!"

Getting Natural Gas from There to Here

Natural Gas coming out of the ground does little good unless it can be captured and transported to markets. So what do you do if you find natural gas way out at sea? Your project is in deep water economically and financially (pun intended) and will thus be dead in the water because you can not get the gas to market.  (Sorry.)

John R. Hays, Jr. is fond of reminding me how high tech the oil and gas industry is.  Shell now gives us more evidence of just high tech it is.  Six hundred engineers from around the world have worked on the world's first floating liquefied natural gas facility (FLNG).  Watch the video below to learn about the development phase of the Prelude FLNG Project to define, design and evaluate plans for the facility.  They built a scale model of the FLNG facility and tested it in tanks in artificial marine conditions to see if it would withstand wind and high waves.  The plan is to capture gas from a field far off of Broome, Western Australia, liquify it at sea, and ship the liquified natural gas (LNG) to markets.